Sunday, September 20 2026

Cotti franchisees trapped in subsidy dilemma: squeezed by high transfer fees and low gross margins

As the weather turns colder, information about Cotti Coffee store transfers has noticeably increased on social platforms, including many high-quality stores with monthly net profits of tens of thousands of yuan. Behind the seemingly attractive transfers are transfer fees as high as hundreds of thousands of yuan and long payback periods. Cotti rapidly expanded to more than 6,000 stores thanks to its low-threshold franchising and generous subsidy policies, but the high subsidies also brought high costs and intense competitive pressure. Franchisees are struggling to survive between the price war and commission rules, with some lamenting that they are "helping Cotti build the market, busy but not prosperous." This article will deeply analyze the real survival picture of franchisees under Cotti's subsidy policy and explore the business logic and hidden concerns behind this franchising boom. [more…]

Changes to JD Takeaway's subsidy rules spark merchant discontent, Grid Coffee founder Chen Ziyu speaks out in criticism

Recently, JD Delivery adjusted the cost-sharing method for its "10 Billion Subsidy" campaign, changing it from being fully borne by the platform to a 50-50 split with merchants, which sparked strong backlash from many participating merchants. Many merchants reported that the new rules not only severely squeezed their profit margins but also exposed them to pressure such as forced participation and traffic downgrading, with some orders even generating negative revenue. Chen Ziyu, the owner of the coffee chain brand Grid Coffee, publicly called out, "Stop it, Ah Dong," pushing the conflict into the spotlight of public opinion. As the incident continues to escalate, the trust relationship between merchants and the platform is facing a severe test. [more…]

Colombian truck drivers block roads to protest diesel price hikes, disrupting transport and supply chains for coffee and other agricultural products

Colombia has been hit by truck driver protests blocking roads since September 2, triggered by the government's decision to gradually phase out fuel subsidies and raise the price of diesel by 1,904 pesos per gallon. The protests have continued to escalate, with 136 road blockades reported nationwide, nearly 1.6 million people affected in their travels, and schools suspended in many places. Goods are piling up at ports and airports, and agricultural products such as fruit and coffee beans are rotting faster due to the high temperatures of the dry season. Colombia's Ministry of Mines and Energy has said diesel prices may continue to rise in the future, and although the government is willing to hold talks, its stance remains tough. Factors such as rising logistics costs, a shortage of truck drivers, and wildfires in Cauca Department that have destroyed coffee fields are compounding, driving Colombian coffee prices steadily higher and putting the supply chain at risk of further deterioration. [more…]

Chongqing Coffee Association Proposes Halting Delivery Subsidy Rat Race, Sparking Heated Debate on Survival Struggles of Small and Medium Brands

Recently, the Chongqing Coffee Industry Association published an open letter regarding JD Takeout's "10 Billion Subsidy" program, directly accusing the platform of driving the prices of freshly made coffee beverages down to rock bottom through hefty subsidies, which has severely squeezed the market share of local independent coffee brands, with some brands seeing declines in both online transaction volume and average order value. The open letter sparked heated discussion among netizens: on one side, food and beverage industry practitioners empathize with the involution caused by subsidies; on the other, consumers strongly support low-priced coffee. Is this subsidy war promoting industry reshuffling or stifling innovation? Can the differentiation strategy of independent coffee shops hold its ground in the price war? This article takes you through the whole story and the views of all parties. [more…]

HEYTEA Closes Multiple Stores in Succession, Tightens Franchise Policy to Limit New Store Expansion

Since early November, news of Hee Tea closing stores in multiple cities has emerged one after another, sparking widespread attention. Some netizens reported that stores they frequented suddenly ceased operations—not for renovation and upgrades, but for permanent closure. According to statistics, stores closed in November include the Ganzhou Market store in Zhangye, Gansu; the Lanzhou Guofang Department Store store; and the Zhejiang University Zijingang Campus store, among other locations. Among them were both established stores that had operated for a decade and new stores that had been open for less than six months. This phenomenon is believed to be related to an internal letter Hee Tea released in September, which stated that the company would no longer pursue short-term store-opening speed and would instead focus on store quality and operational excellence. At the same time, a blogger claiming to be a city partner revealed that Hee Tea's franchise policy is being adjusted, with applications becoming more difficult, store-building costs increasing, and even a trend of "restricting new store openings and encouraging closures." [more…]

Tea Baidao's first semi-annual report after listing is out: net profit fell nearly 60% year-on-year, with franchise support and supply chain weaknesses in the spotlight.

The first half-year report delivered by ChaPanda after its listing in Hong Kong shows that both revenue and net profit declined in the first half of 2024, with net profit falling by nearly 60% year-on-year. The company attributes this to increased support for franchisees and greater market investment. At the same time, the number of stores continues to grow, but its market value has shrunk significantly, and its reliance on external suppliers for its supply chain is also seen as a key weakness. This article will sort through the core data in the financial report, the adjustments to franchise policy and their knock-on effects, and compare the competitive landscape of the industry, to help coffee and tea beverage enthusiasts understand the challenges this brand currently faces. [more…]

Birr exchange rate falls for three consecutive days to 83.94, Ethiopia's foreign exchange reform triggers a chain reaction in prices and coffee exports

Since Ethiopia implemented a new foreign exchange policy on July 31, the birr has fallen three times in a row against the US dollar within just a few days, dropping to 83.94 birr per US dollar on August 2, sharply increasing the pressure on local people's livelihoods. The Addis Ababa City Trade Bureau promptly sanctioned 387 businesses suspected of price gouging, while opposition parties criticized the timing of the reform as inappropriate. At the same time, exports of agricultural products such as coffee have gained competitiveness in the short term due to currency depreciation, but climate disasters, the Red Sea shipping crisis, and domestic conflict cast a shadow over the long-term outlook. This article will sort out the deeper impact of exchange rate fluctuations on Ethiopia's economy, prices, and coffee industry, and also look at how brands such as Front Street Coffee are responding amid changes in the place of origin. [more…]

JD's surprise subsidy causes CoCo stores to be overwhelmed with orders, damaging the experience for staff, riders, and consumers alike.

An unannounced JD.com platform subsidy campaign plunged CoCo milk tea stores across many parts of the country into chaos. Four drinks originally priced at 9.9 yuan were suddenly cut by the platform itself to 1.9 yuan, instantly triggering a surge of online orders. Stores had prepared staffing and supplies for a normal day, yet within an hour they were hit with more than half a day's worth of drink output. Employees were thrown into a frenzy, delivery riders swarmed to grab orders, customers received drinks that did not match what they ordered, and even delivery workers had their pay docked for being late. What seemed like a promotion benefiting consumers ultimately turned into a lose-lose-lose situation of complaining staff, quarreling riders, and disappointed customers. Just what went wrong with the communication mechanism between the platform and the stores? Why did the sudden traffic become such a hot potato? This article reconstructs the entire incident and explores the operational hidden risks behind food delivery promotions. [more…]

Ethiopia Launches Exchange Rate System Reform, Birr Depreciates by 30% in a Single Day, Coffee Exports Face a New Landscape

On July 29, 2024, the National Bank of Ethiopia announced a major overhaul of the country's foreign exchange system, effective immediately, centered on introducing a competitive exchange rate formation mechanism based on market supply and demand. This move was seen as a key step toward resolving the country's long-standing foreign exchange shortage, but it also quickly triggered a sharp currency depreciation—the birr plunged about 30% against the US dollar in a single day. As a major global coffee-producing region, how will this policy shift in Ethiopia affect its coffee industry and the international coffee market? This article will outline the specifics of the reform, the exchange rate movements, and their potential transmission effects on coffee exports and prices. [more…]

Severe Weather in Indonesia Devastates Coffee-Growing Regions: Java and Sumatra Hit Hard, Output Expected to Fall by as Much as 50%

Indonesia is a major global coffee producer, with coffee cultivation mainly distributed across islands such as Sumatra, Java, Sulawesi, and Bali. However, the country has recently experienced persistent severe weather, and floods and landslides triggered by heavy rain have dealt a serious blow to multiple coffee-producing regions. The Bandung area on Java Island, the island's largest coffee-producing region, has already seen casualties and extensive housing damage; nine regions in western Sumatra have been especially hard hit, and with Robusta coffee at the pre-fruiting and early harvesting stage, losses have been severe. According to estimates by local producers, output on some islands will fall by 20%, and the country's total production may be halved. At the same time, the Indonesian government has designated coffee as a national priority industry and significantly increased fertilizer subsidies in an attempt to ease the impact of the disaster on agriculture. This article will review the specific effects of the disaster on Indonesia's coffee industry and related policy trends. [more…]

Drought Plus Strike Roadblocks: Colombia's Coffee Industry Faces Dual Test of Water Supply and Exports

Colombia announced the end of El Niño in July this year, but its aftermath still deeply affects the country's water resources and agricultural production. Water usage for productive capacity at the Gori Las dam, Bogotá's main water source, has continued to decline, dropping from 52% in early August to 38.84% this week, and local drinking water regulators have introduced stricter water-saving and penalty measures. Meanwhile, the government's cancellation of fuel subsidies has triggered nationwide road blockades by truck drivers, obstructing access to major ports such as Valle del Cauca department, directly impacting the coffee logistics chain from producing regions to ports. For the coffee industry, it must contend with both the planting pressure of limited irrigation water and the trade risks of disrupted export transportation. Recalling that national protests in 2021 nearly reduced coffee exports to zero in May of that year, industry insiders worry whether this round of crisis will repeat if the strike continues, warranting sustained attention. [more…]

Cotti Coffee Closes 250 Stores in 90 Days: Franchisee Data Deceived, Subsidies Fail to Retain People, Founder's Forced Enforcement Deal the Final Blow

In the coffee sector, nearly 90,000 new stores have opened in the past year, with a net increase of over 48,000, and amid fierce competition, brands are rolling out various strategies. Cotti, which ranks third in store scale, however, chose to cross over into tea beverages in April, launching new milk tea and fruit tea products unrelated to coffee, which is puzzling—after all, it already owns the tea brand Chamao, which focuses on human-machine collaboration. Behind this strategy is the reality that franchisees are increasingly seeing no hope of profitability and are exiting to cut losses. A franchisee in Hubei reported that the foot traffic data provided during recruitment was severely inflated, and the data used by third-party assessment software was actually outdated from several years ago. The brand relied on these impressive figures to set a record of opening 7,000 stores in 14 months. Now, according to Jihai brand monitoring, Cotti has closed 250 stores in the past 90 days, equivalent to three per day, while Luckin, with more than twice the total number of stores, closed only 89 in the same period. Negative news such as salary cuts, layoffs, and the founder being forced to execute 3 billion yuan in debts has followed one after another, and franchisees are no longer willing to be mere also-rans. [more…]

Visiting Manner's Most Tranquil Store: The Warm Practice of Silent Baristas and Disability Employment

In the coffee consumption experience, interaction with baristas is often a bonus. But when you encounter a hearing-impaired barista, communication shifts from speech to pen and paper. Recently, a customer at a Manner store noticed a sign on the counter reading "I am a silent barista," leading to a quiet yet warm consumption experience. Some were moved by the focus and effort of silent baristas, while others pointed out the practical efficiency challenges in collaboration from an employee's perspective. In recent years, with policy encouragement and corporate participation, silent cafes have emerged in multiple cities, providing not only jobs but also livelihood skills. Front Street Coffee has observed that to bridge the communication gap, some stores are trying solutions such as sign language menus and voice-to-text devices. This article will present multiple perspectives from consumers, employees, and brands to explore the real situation and future possibilities of silent baristas in chain stores. [more…]

Luckin adds ten thousand stores in a year, overtaking Mixue Ice Cream & Tea; behind the scale expansion lies mounting profit pressure and the dilemma of a price war.

Luckin Coffee has broken records in the chain coffee industry at an astonishing speed, adding 10,000 net new stores within a year, bringing its total store count close to 20,000, with an expansion pace even surpassing Mixue Bingcheng. However, alongside this runaway scale, problems have followed one after another: a swing from profit to loss in the first quarter, a decline in net profit margin in the second quarter, and a year-on-year drop in same-store sales at directly operated stores. The 9.9 yuan promotional campaign has lowered the average transaction value, making it a real challenge to increase revenue without increasing profit. Facing a price war with rivals such as Cotti and Starbucks, how Luckin balances scale and profitability will be a key proposition for its future operations. [more…]

The Coffee Industry's Predicament Under Shanghai's Pandemic Lockdown: Small Shops Running Out of Beans, Traders Shifting Warehouses, and the Way Forward

Shanghai implemented community lockdowns starting in mid-March, catching coffee lovers off guard. A Weibo trending topic titled "I want to buy coffee" garnered over 340 million views, reflecting the close connection between coffee and daily life. However, café owners are facing the dilemma of suspended dine-in services and sharply declining revenues, with some small shops even considering transferring their businesses after the lockdown lifts. Meanwhile, coffee bean roasters are adjusting their supply chains due to stalled warehouses in Shanghai, and green bean traders are setting up temporary warehouses in other cities. This article will delve into the impact of the lockdown on the coffee industry chain, and how small shops can find a way out under the pressure of rising prices and capital chain strains, including strategies like shifting to drip bag coffee and online sales, while also paying attention to the developments of brands such as Front Street Coffee. [more…]

The Dilemma of Milk Tea Shops Under the Takeout Subsidy War: Jasmine Milk White Employees Face the Pressure of Order Explosions and Delivery Riders Chasing Orders

Recently, the food delivery competition between JD.com and Meituan has yet to subside, and Ele.me has now joined the fray with a large number of coupons and subsidies. While delivery users enjoy low-priced milk tea, staff at brands like Molly Tea are under unprecedented order pressure. Drinks that originally cost a dozen yuan per cup have seen their prices plummet to five or six yuan after platform subsidies, or even just a few cents, causing order volumes to instantly double or surge, with some stores handling as many as five or six hundred orders per day. Understaffing, material shortages, riders urging them on, and customer complaints have become the daily reality for these coffee and milk tea workers. This article will take you behind the scenes of this delivery subsidy frenzy to see the real working conditions and helplessness of frontline employees. [more…]

Delivery subsidy war hits Starbucks stores, emptied pastry cases spark polarizing reactions among employees and consumers

The delivery subsidy war between JD.com and Meituan has unexpectedly spread to Starbucks—after stacking coupons, a breakfast set that originally cost dozens of yuan is now only a little over ten yuan, and you can even get a cup of Starbucks for just over three yuan. Consumers rushed to snap up cakes and bread they normally wouldn't bear to buy, causing the food display cases at many stores to be emptied ahead of schedule, with office workers exclaiming that such a spectacle is rarely seen. Yet store employees are complaining bitterly, as doubled order volumes leave them exhausted. In this clash of the titans between platforms, who really benefits and who suffers? Front Street Coffee takes you through the coffee industry ecosystem behind this delivery melee. [more…]

Delivery platform subsidy wars trigger order explosions at tea beverage stores, chain brand employees complain bitterly as they work through the night to fulfill orders

The food delivery platforms have once again kicked off a subsidy war, with Meituan and Alibaba distributing large numbers of milk tea redemption vouchers to users, triggering a collective surge in orders at chain stores such as Mixue Bingcheng, Chabaidao, Goodme, and Shanghai Auntie. On the night of July 5, orders flooded into tea beverage stores in many places like a tidal wave, receipt printers nearly collapsed, and employees kept busy from the evening shift until the early hours of the morning yet still could not clear the backlog of orders. Some stores urgently called back off-duty employees for support, while delivery riders and customers surrounded the stores so tightly that not a drop could get through. While consumers got milk tea for 0 yuan, the workers behind the counter experienced a night comparable to "doomsday." This game between platforms ultimately shifted the pressure onto the frontline tea beverage workers. [more…]

Luckin Coffee Stores Under the Takeout Subsidy War: Light Meal Defrost Volumes Double, Employees Trapped in Unpaid Overtime Predicament

Recent subsidy promotions on major food delivery platforms have brought consumers tangible savings, with many taking advantage of low prices to stock up on milk tea, coffee, and light bakery items. However, this seemingly win-win promotional feast has stirred up considerable unrest within Luckin Coffee stores. A large number of consumers flocked to stores to buy light food in bulk, directly causing a surge in the number of baked goods that staff need to thaw each night—work that once took just over ten minutes now takes more than half an hour. What leaves employees even more frustrated is that the company has not only canceled performance commissions on light food sales but also requires them to complete thawing tasks strictly according to procedure after closing, forcing many to work unpaid overtime. The cost of this delivery war seems to be quietly borne by frontline staff. [more…]

Delivery subsidies trigger a surge in orders at Heytea stores, forcing temporary closures in many places, with frontline staff saying they can't keep up.

The subsidy war among food delivery platforms continues to heat up, with large-value coupons frequently being thrust at consumers, and the pressure on in-store production has surged accordingly. Recently, Meituan released a batch of delivery coupons for Heytea that can be expanded to "18-18," meaning a drink priced at over twenty yuan costs only a few yuan after the discount, and can even be made nearly free by stacking red envelopes. As soon as the news came out, netizens rushed to place orders, and Heytea stores in many parts of the country saw orders surge in a short time. Delivery rider capacity could not keep up, and delays, stuck orders, and no one accepting deliveries occurred one after another. Some stores, facing shortages of both materials and staff, could only temporarily close and reopen after all the backlogged drinks had been made. At the same time, frontline employees poured out their daily experiences of order explosions on social platforms, busy from morning to night, with no time even to eat or drink. [more…]